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Method and system for short-term precipitation forecasting based on probability distribution
Method and system for short-term precipitation forecasting based on probability distribution
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机译:基于概率分布的短期降水预报方法和系统
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摘要
A system and method for generating a short-term forecast for a given location over a period of time. The system receives meteorological observations and predictions for a given location from multiple weather data sources and processes the information to obtain a probability distribution of precipitation types (PType) and precipitation (PRate) over an arbitrary period of time. Find the probability distribution of. The two probability distributions are then combined to obtain a plurality of probability distributions (PTypeRate predictions) that indicate the probability that a particular type of precipitation will occur at a given location with a specific amount of precipitation in any period. In some embodiments, instead of determining the distribution of PType, one precipitation type is selected based on weather observations input to the system, and the selected precipitation type is specified at a given location at any time period. A PTypeRate prediction can be generated that indicates the probability of the precipitation occurring. [Selection] Figure 1
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