Disclosed is a method and apparatus for deriving a learning outcome prediction model through perceived affordance in a video-based learning environment. The apparatus for deriving a learning outcome prediction model includes: collecting behavioral data and physiological psychological data of a learner generated in a learning process for learning content; Determining variables for the learner''s behavioral data and physiological psychological data collected in the learning process through pre-processing of the collected learner''s behavioral data and physiological psychological data; And deriving models for predicting learning outcomes for the entire group and detailed groups of the entire group based on the determined learner''s behavioral data and variables for physiological and psychological data.
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