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Modelling and analysis e-SIM in Indonesia

机译:印度尼西亚的e-SIM建模与分析

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摘要

Group Special Mobile Association (GSMA) has set a new standard related to embedded Subscriber Identity Module (e-SIM) technology. The application of these technologies aim to support the needs of new services such as Machine to Machine (M2M) and Internet of Things (IoT). Currently several smart phone manufacturers such as Apple and Samsung start to implement the technology to their products. Provisioning of cellular services in Indonesia are not evenly distributed, both the scope and quality of its network and the difficulty when customers switch services. Based on the potential benefit of e-SIM, we investigate implementation e-SIM in terms of the number of subscriber, Average Revenue per User (ARPU), and cost production. We forecast the number of subscriber using S-curve model, while ARPU and cost production using Quadratic models. We show there are only 19 million new subscribers between 2015-2020 if Indonesia do not implement e-SIM. However, the new subscribers are being double if Indonesia implement e-SIM in the same period. Moreover, ARPU are estimated being large as Indonesia implement e-SIM because e-SIM enables IoT devices.
机译:特殊移动组织(GSMA)建立了与嵌入式用户识别模块(e-SIM)技术相关的新标准。这些技术的应用旨在满足新服务的需求,例如机器对机器(M2M)和物联网(IoT)。当前,苹果和三星等多家智能手机制造商开始在其产品中实施该技术。在印度尼西亚,蜂窝服务的供应分布不均,其网络的范围和质量以及客户切换服务时遇到的困难。基于e-SIM的潜在利益,我们从订户数量,每用户平均收入(ARPU)和成本产生方面研究实施e-SIM。我们使用S曲线模型预测订户数量,而ARPU和成本生产使用Quadratic模型进行预测。我们显示,如果印度尼西亚不实施e-SIM,则在2015-2020年之间只有1900万新用户。但是,如果印度尼西亚在同一时期实施e-SIM,则新用户将翻倍。此外,由于eSIM支持物联网设备,因此印尼实施e-SIM的ARPU估计很大。

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