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首页> 外文会议>Annual ASEM(American Society for Engineering Management) National Conference; 20071107-10; Chattanooga,TN(US) >A SURVIVAL DISABILITY MODEL OF DYNAMIC ORGANIZATIONAL EFFECTIVENESS
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A SURVIVAL DISABILITY MODEL OF DYNAMIC ORGANIZATIONAL EFFECTIVENESS

机译：动态组织效能的生存残障模型

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摘要

The original work modeling dynamic organizational effectiveness integrated theoretical approaches from organizational ecology and systems cybernetics in an event history analysis framework to develop a recurrent events organizational effectiveness model. The original work applied the recurrent events model to the population of the original equipment computer manufacturing industry of the last half of the twentieth century. As hypothesized, the recurrent events model yielded dynamic trajectories of accelerated expected years effectiveness that ranked and segregated industry members into subpopulations of effectiveness. Concomitant event history analysis allowed statistical modeling of selected predictor variables relative to organizational effectiveness at the population level and within subpopulations. As noted in initial publications, the main limitation of applying the recurrent events model to organizational effectiveness at the population level is that effectiveness is dependent upon organizational survival. Surviving organizations may be either effective or ineffective, but failing organizations must always be ineffective. Thus, the recurrent events model confounds two different loss of effectiveness mechanisms; (1) loss of niche width but surviving to compete in future periods and (2) organizational failure accompanied by complete niche loss. To overcome this confounding, this work presents research into modeling organizational effectiveness using a joint disability, competing risks model. The disability, competing risks model admits three states of effectiveness: surviving-and-effective, surviving-and-ineffective, and organizational failure.
机译：最初的工作模型动态组织有效性在事件历史分析框架中集成了来自组织生态学和系统控制论的理论方法，以开发周期性事件组织有效性模型。最初的工作将周期性事件模型应用于20世纪后半叶的原始设备计算机制造行业。如假设的那样，经常性事件模型产生了加速的预期年有效性的动态轨迹，从而将行业成员排名并划分为有效性子群体。伴随的事件历史分析允许选择预测变量的统计模型，这些变量相对于人群水平和亚群内的组织有效性。正如最初的出版物所指出的那样，将重复事件模型应用于人群一级的组织有效性的主要局限性在于有效性取决于组织的生存能力。幸存的组织可能是有效的或无效的，但是失败的组织必须始终无效。因此，重复事件模型混淆了两种不同的有效性机制损失： （1）生态位宽度的丧失，但在将来仍能生存竞争；（2）组织失败，伴随着生态位的完全丧失。为了克服这种困惑，这项工作提出了使用联合残疾，竞争风险模型对组织有效性进行建模的研究。残疾，竞争风险模型承认有效性的三个状态：生存和有效，生存和无效以及组织失败。

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