Application of Grey Model GM (1,1) to Highway Transportation Estimation

机译：灰色模型GM（1,1）在公路运输量估算中的应用

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In order to rationally forecast the amount of highway transportation accurately and to enhance the ability of highway management, we establish the grey model of GM (1,1) and give out the detailed steps to forecast the amount of highway transportation. We apply this model with the real data about the volume of passenger transport and the turnover volume of passenger transport based on the recent statistic data of China. Furthermore the error test work is done in this paper. The results of the error test work show that the enough precision is obtained in the estimation.

机译：为了合理合理地预测公路运输量并增强公路管理能力，建立了GM（1,1）的灰色模型，并给出了预测公路运输量的详细步骤。基于中国最近的统计数据，我们将该模型与有关旅客运输量和旅客运输周转量的真实数据一起应用。此外，本文完成了错误测试工作。错误测试工作的结果表明，在估计中获得了足够的精度。

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来源
《International institute of statistics management engineering symposium》|2011年|p.1192-1195|共4页
会议地点 Dalian(CN)
作者
LIU Xianfeng; WU Juan; SUN Xu;
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作者单位

School of Management Tianjin University Tianjin P.R.China 300072 Academy of Military Transportation Tianjin P.R.China 300161;

Academy of Military Transportation Tianjin P.R.China 300161 Institute of Transportation Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing P.R.China 100084;

Institute of Transportation Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing P.R.China 100084;

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关键词
GM (1; 1) model; Road passenger traffic; Grey forecasting;

机译：GM（1; 1）模型；公路客运；灰色预测;

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4. Application of Grey Model GM (1,1) to Highway Transportation Estimation [C] . LIU Xianfeng, WU Juan, SUN Xu International Institute of Statistics Management Engineering Symposium . 2011

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Application of Grey Model GM (1,1) to Highway Transportation Estimation

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