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Study of Human Influenza's Spreading Phenomenon

机译:人类流行性感冒传播现象研究

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The paper starts from the human influenza's spreading phenomenon, as a complex of observable occurrences, and develops a stochastic process, defined as a set of procedures that convert its initial state into a sequence of different states during the phenomenon's lifespan. The Monte Carlo simulation method for a stochastic discrete event system is used. This system is completely described in terms of: entities, sequential states, transition tables of states, sets of input/output events, internal/external transition function, events/time advance function, input/output parameters. The simulation can encompass several contagion schema and health policy responses. Finally, some information about the software in the field is given.
机译:本文从人类流感的蔓延现象开始,它是可观察到的复杂事件,并发展了一个随机过程,定义为一系列程序,在该过程的整个生命周期中,将其初始状态转换为一系列不同的状态。使用了随机离散事件系统的蒙特卡洛模拟方法。完整描述该系统的方面包括:实体,顺序状态,状态转换表,输入/输出事件集,内部/外部转换函数,事件/时间提前函数,输入/输出参数。该模拟可以包含多个传染方案和健康策略响应。最后,给出了有关该领域软件的一些信息。

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