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Economic impact of adaptation to climate change in Iceland's energy supply sector

机译:适应气候变化对冰岛能源供应部门的经济影响

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The economic value of adaptation to climate impact on renewable resources is examined using the UniSyD_IS model of Iceland's energy system. The model captures the entire energy system including interactions among supply sectors, energy markets, infrastructure and fuel demand. In this framework, climate adaptation options are evaluated in the context of a rational decision making process. Comparison of two scenarios with and without climate impact on hydro and biomass resources reflects the direct and indirect economic effects of adaptation strategies and provides insights for generation and energy supply investment planning. The simulation results show that the adaptation to climate change in Iceland leads to higher installed capacities for hydro, biodiesel, and bioethanol plants with lower supply costs. The findings indicate that the adaptation of energy supply to climate change could provide net benefits from an energy supply perspective.
机译:使用冰岛能源系统的UniSyD_IS模型检查了适应气候影响可再生资源的经济价值。该模型涵盖了整个能源系统,包括供应部门,能源市场,基础设施和燃料需求之间的相互作用。在这种框架下,在合理的决策过程中评估了气候适应方案。比较有和没有气候影响的水和生物质资源的两种情景,反映了适应战略的直接和间接经济影响,并为发电和能源供应投资计划提供了见识。仿真结果表明,冰岛对气候变化的适应性提高了水力,生物柴油和生物乙醇工厂的装机容量,并降低了供应成本。研究结果表明,从能源供应的角度来看,使能源供应适应气候变化可以提供净收益。

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