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Cointegration on Relationship of Port Logistics and Economic Development in the Coastal Region of Jiangsu Province——a Case Study of Lianyungang

机译:江苏省沿海地区港口物流与经济发展关系的协整 - 以连云港为例

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In order to support the National Coastal Development Strategy and clarify the relationship of port logistics and economic development in the coastal region of Jiangsu Province,the paper,based on the data of port logistics and economic development of Lianyungang from 1988 to 2012,cointegrates both of them by the cointegration theory and Eviews software.The conclusions are as followed: Firstly,there exits the long-term equilibrium between port logistics and economic development by the cointegrating test.Secondly,according to the Granger causality test,there exits single Granger causality between port logistics and economic development,and port logistics has positive effects on economic development,whereas,economic development has no positive effects on port logistics.Thirdly,when the amount of port logistics increases one unit,the quantity of economy will correspondingly increase 1.128 units.
机译:为了支持国家沿海发展战略,澄清江苏省沿海地区港口物流与经济发展的关系,本文以1988年至2012年的连云港港口物流与经济发展数据,共同组成他们通过协整理论和eviews软件。结论如下:首先,通过协整试验出口港口物流与经济发展之间的长期均衡。首先,根据格兰杰因果关系试验,出现单一的格兰杰因果关系港口物流和经济发展,港口物流对经济发展具有积极影响,而经济发展对港口物流没有积极影响。第三,当港口物流量增加一个单位时,经济数量相应增加1.128个单位。

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