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Studies on Risk Management of the Urban Infrastructure Projects Based on the BOT Financing Model

机译:基于BOT融资模式的城市基础设施项目风险管理研究

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摘要

With the acceleration of urbanized advancement in China, governments' high investment and low efficiency in urban infrastructure projects have already become a worldwide problem. The BOT financing model can be combined with government policy supports, investor's abundant fund and advanced management. The BOT financing model in urban infrastructure projects has greater risks, so their risk management is of great significance. The paper establishes risk evaluation index system of urban infrastructure projects on the BOT financing model, and sets up the risk evaluation model by use of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Mathematics. We partially modify weight of AHP, by Fuzzy Cluster Analysis. Next, we establish the risk allocation model of urban infrastructure projects. Finally, we carry empirical analysis about the risk problem of an urban infrastructure project. Through comparing with result of model evaluation and measure of the risk allocation, empirical analysis indicates that the evaluation result of the model can reflect the risk situation of project thoroughly and objectively.
机译:随着中国城市化进程的加快,政府在城市基础设施项目上的高投资和低效率已经成为世界性的问题。 BOT融资模式可以与政府政策支持,投资者的丰富资金和先进的管理相结合。城市基础设施项目中的BOT融资模式具有较大的风险,因此其风险管理意义重大。本文建立了基于BOT融资模式的城市基础设施项目风险评价指标体系,并运用层次分析法和模糊数学方法建立了风险评价模型。我们通过模糊聚类分析部分修改了层次分析法的权重。接下来,我们建立城市基础设施项目的风险分配模型。最后,我们对城市基础设施项目的风险问题进行了实证分析。通过与模型评价结果的比较和风险分配的测度,经验分析表明,模型的评价结果​​可以客观,全面地反映项目的风险状况。

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