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Impact of Climate Change on Flood Discharge and Flood Stage in the River Basin

机译:气候变化对流域洪水流量和洪水期的影响

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In the recent years, extreme weather events due to the climate change has been frequently occurred over the world. Meanwhile, Korean peninsula has been suffered from the natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Especially, in Korea, the flood damage tends to be increasing rapidly. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the flood discharge and flood stage under climate change for the purpose of the reduction of flood damage. This study is to assess the impact of climate change on flood discharge and flood stage in Sumjin river basin, Korea. Sumjin, Yochun, and Bosung rivers are selected for this study, and these are the areas in which the model is constructed and applied. SRES A1B climate change scenarios, provided by the IPCC for the simulation of future climate data, were applied for the four different targets periods (Target Ⅰ : 1971~2010, Target Ⅱ : 2011~2040, Target Ⅲ : 2041~2070, Target Ⅳ : 2071~2100) and HEC-GeoHMS and HEC-HMS models are used to estimate flood discharge for each target period. Then HEC-RAS model is served for investigating the variation of flood stage due to the climate change at Songjung station which is located in the basin outlet. The results are compared and examined with the previous studies that climate change was not considered. Those results could be used as the basic information for the future disaster prevention planning under climate change.
机译:近年来,由于气候变化导致的极端天气事件在世界范围内经常发生。同时,朝鲜半岛遭受洪水和干旱等自然灾害的困扰。特别是在韩国,洪灾的危害有迅速增加的趋势。因此,有必要估算气候变化下的洪水流量和洪水期,以减少洪水的危害。这项研究旨在评估气候变化对韩国Sumjin流域的洪水排放和洪水阶段的影响。本研究选择了Sumjin,Yochun和Bosung河流,这些是构建和应用该模型的地区。 IPCC为模拟未来气候数据提供的SRES A1B气候变化情景被用于四个不同的目标时期(目标Ⅰ:1971〜2010,目标Ⅱ:2011〜2040,目标Ⅲ:2041〜2070,目标Ⅳ) :2071〜2100),并使用HEC-GeoHMS和HEC-HMS模型估算每个目标时期的洪水流量。然后利用HEC-RAS模型调查流域出口处松戎站因气候变化而引起的洪水期变化。将结果与以前没有考虑气候变化的研究进行比较和检验。这些结果可以用作未来气候变化下的防灾计划的基本信息。

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