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首页> 外文会议>ECEEE summer study >Rethink the target: drivers, barriers and path dependencies for a low-carbon-transition in shrinking cities – the case of Oberhausen
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Rethink the target: drivers, barriers and path dependencies for a low-carbon-transition in shrinking cities – the case of Oberhausen

机译：重新思考目标：萎缩城市中低碳转型的司机，障碍和路径依赖性 - Oberhausen的情况

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The role of cities in mitigating GHG emissions and thus tackling global warming has gained importance over the last years. Many cities have developed climate action plans, primarily to achieve long-term “low-carbon” mitigation goals set by national governments or (inter)national agreements. A mere adoption of high level targets, however, raises the question whether these targets are applicable for cities with very different framework conditions. We argue that it is crucial to understand the socio-economic, geophysical, spatial, infrastructural and political framework of a city – a broad approach, which is generally missing in climate action plans. Thus, determining drivers and barriers for future development paths is neglected by local policies, which leads to a gap between ambition (target) and reality (implementation). We exemplarily examine this hypothesis for the shrinking city of Oberhausen (Germany). Oberhausen, located in the Ruhr area, is a typical old industrial region, which has seen a decline of its industrial basis over the last decades. We analysed historical data and developed scenarios until 2030. Both show a significant decrease in CO_2 emissions. A closer look, however, reveals that the reduction is primarily due to the economic transformation (less manufacturing, more service industry, accompanied by a decrease in population) and general energy efficiency developments following the implementation of national and EU policies. Although the city has implemented – and will further implement – many instruments and policies to reduce CO_2 emissions, local barriers such as unemployment, low rents, low income, high per capita debts, etc. dramatically reduce the city’s capacity for action. The results show that Oberhausen’s emission reductions do not reflect active energy policies but are mainly driven by an economic decline. To reach ambitious reduction targets, however, the city needs to be enabled to take action in achieving appropriate and reasonable targets.
机译：城市在缓解温室气体排放的作用，从而在过去几年中获得了重要性。许多城市都制定了气候行动计划，主要是通过国家政府或（国际）的国家协议来实现长期的“低碳”缓解目标。但是，仅仅采用了高级目标，提出了这些目标的问题，这些目标是否适用于具有非常不同框架条件的城市。我们认为，了解城市的社会经济，地球物理，空间，基础设施和政治框架至关重要，这是一种广泛的方法，这在气候行动计划中一般缺失。因此，当地政策忽略了未来发展路径的确定驱动因素和障碍，这导致了野心（目标）和现实（实施）之间的差距。我们示例性地研究了奥伯豪森（德国）萎缩的这一假设。位于Ruhr地区的Oberhausen是一家典型的旧工业区，在过去几十年中，其产业基础下降。我们分析了历史数据和发展方案，直到2030年。两者都显示了CO_2排放的显着降低。然而，更仔细的外观揭示了减少主要是由于经济转型（制造业，更多的服务业，伴随着人口的减少）和一般能源效率发展，在实施国家和欧盟政策后。虽然这座城市已实施 - 并进一步实施 - 许多文书和减少CO_2排放，当地障碍，如失业，低租金，低收入，高人均债务等的案件和政策大大降低了城市的行动能力。结果表明，Oberhausen的排放减少不反映积极的能源政策，但主要是经济衰落的推动。然而，为了达到雄心勃勃的减少目标，需要使城市能够采取行动实现适当合理的目标。

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