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Measuring Underlying Energy Efficiency in the GCC Using a Newly Constructed Energy Dataset

机译:使用新构造的能量数据集测量GCC中的底层能效

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Economic development, population growth, and improvements in energy efficiency are key factors behind the evolution of energy demand. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), an economic union that includes six countries, has experienced rapid economic and population growth over the last few decades. This has led to rapid growth in final energy consumption, which increased at an average annual rate of 6.8% between 2004 and 2014. Using a newly constructed dataset, we undertake a benchmarking exercise for energy efficiency in three sectors across the six GCC countries. With an energy demand framework, corrected ordinary least squares, an econometric approach, is used to estimate underlying energy efficiency trends for three key energy consuming sectors: residential electricity, road transport gasoline, and manufacturing aggregate energy. Our results reveal that relative underlying energy efficiency in the GCC countries has witnessed limited improvements, and has deteriorated in some cases. This has likely contributed to the region’s rapid energy demand growth. However, recent implementation of energy efficiency standards and regulations, combined with energy price reform, should lead to considerable energy efficiency improvements in the future, which is likely to dampen the rapid growth rates in energy consumption that the region has witnessed over the last few decades.
机译:经济发展,人口增长和能源效率的改善是能源需求演变背后的关键因素。海湾合作委员会(GCC)是一个包括六个国家的经济工会,在过去几十年中经历了快速的经济和人口增长。这导致了最终能源消耗的快速增长,平均年增长率在2004年至2014年之间的平均速度为6.8%。使用新建设的数据集,我们在六个八国委会国家的三个部门进行了节能的基准锻炼。通过能量需求框架,校正普通的最小二乘性,一种计量经济学方法,用于估计三个关键能源消耗领域的基础能源效率趋势:住宅电力,公路运输汽油和制造总能量。我们的结果表明,联邦全球环境信息科法银行全国全球联邦委员会国家的相关能源效率有限,有限的改善,并在某些情况下恶化。这可能导致该地区的快速需求增长。然而,最近实施能效标准和法规,与能源改革相结合,应导致未来的相当大的能源效率改善,这可能会抑制该地区在过去几十年中所见证的能源消耗的快速增长率。

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