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Framing volcanic risk communication within disaster risk reduction:finding ways for the social and physical sciences to work together

机译:减少灾害风险内的框架风险沟通:为社会和物理科学寻找共同努力的方式

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Sixteen years have passed since the last global volcanic event and more than 25 since a volcanic catastrophe that killed tens of thousands. In this time, volcanology has seen major advances in understanding, modelling and predicting volcanic hazards and, recently, an interest in techniques for reducing and mitigating volcanic risk. This paper provides a synthesis of litera-ture relating to this last aspect, specifically the communication of volcanic risk, with a view to highlighting areas of future research into encouraging risk-reducing behaviour. Evidence suggests that the current 'multidisciplinary' approach within physical science needs a broader scope to include sociological knowledge and techniques. Key areas where this approach might be applied are: (1) the understanding of the incentives that make governments and communities act to reduce volcanic risk; (2) improving the communication of volcanic uncertainties in volcanic emergency management and long-term planning and development. To be successful, volcanic risk reduction programmes will need to be placed within the context of other other risk-related phenomena (e.g. other natural hazards, climate change) and aim to develop an all-risks reduction culture. We suggest that the greatest potential for achieving these two aims comes from delibera-tive inclusive processes and geographic information systems.
机译:由于火山灾难,造成数万十六年自上次全球火山事件过去了,超过25个。在这个时候,火山已经看到了在理解,模拟和预测火山灾害,最近的重大进展,为减少和减轻火山风险的技术感兴趣。本文提供了有关该最后一个方面litera-TURE,特别是火山风险沟通的综合体,以突出未来的研究领域为鼓励降低风险的行为。有证据表明,物理科学中的当前“多学科”的方法需要一个更广泛的范围,包括社会学的知识和技术。其中可能应用这种方法的关键领域包括:(1)中,使政府和社区采取行动减少风险火山激励的认识; (2)提高在火山应急管理和长期规划和发展的不确定性火山的通信。要取得成功,火山风险削减计划将需要放置的其它其它有关风险的现象(例如其他自然灾害,气候变化)的范围内,目标是开发一个全功能的风险减少文化。我们认为,为实现这两个目标的最大潜力来自delibera-略去包容性的进程和地理信息系统。

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