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Prediction and Metacognition

机译:预测和元记治

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摘要

A case is made for the following claims. Higher animals have evolved the ability to make predictions because it increases their chance of survival. The basic steps in the prediction process are - registration of the internal spatial model with the world, initialization of salient objects (including actors) within the world model, projection of actor behaviors and movements through time, and assessment of results against drives and goals. Predictions are compared with situation estimates, and world models and previous estimates are revised based on this discrepancy. Better world models and situation estimates, in turn, lead to better initialization for the next prediction. This bootstrapping cycle improves both prediction and situation estimation. Thus, prediction can act as an evolutionary driver for more complex world models, higher-level behaviors, and greater sensory discrimination. Higher-level behaviors, with built-in contingencies, are time-consuming to build and resistant to change. However, a self-adaptive system must be able to change its higherlevel behaviors. When prediction is applied to one's own thinking a biofeedback loop is set up that can improve higher-level behaviors. It is observed that many meditation techniques are metacognitive processes that seek to setup this type of biofeedback loop.
机译:对以下权利要求进行了案例。更高的动物已经进化了预测的能力,因为它增加了他们的生存率。预测过程中的基本步骤是 - 与世界的内部空间模型,初始化世界模型内的突出物体(包括演员),演员行为和移动时间的投影,以及对驱动器和目标的结果评估结果。将预测与情况估算进行比较,并且根据这种差异修订世界模型和以前的估计。更好的世界模型和情况估计,又导致下一个预测更好地初始化。此引导循环改善了预测和情况估计。因此,预测可以充当进化驱动器,以实现更复杂的世界模型,更高级别的行为和更大的感官辨别。具有内置突发事件的更高级别的行为是耗时的,建立和抵抗变革。但是,自适应系统必须能够改变其较高的行为。当对自己的思维应用预测时,设置生物融合循环,可以提高更高级别的行为。观察到,许多冥想技术是寻求设置这种类型的生物反馈环路的元认知过程。

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