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Potential Study on Carbon Emission Reduction and Energy Saving of Guangdong Province based on Sensitivity Analysis

机译：基于敏感性分析的广东省广东省碳排放减少和节能研究

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摘要

Based on input-output table and energy consumption balance sheet of Guangdong Province in 2012, this paper formulates non-competitive energy input-output table of Guangdong Province, and calculates energy consumption intensity, carbon intensity and sensitivity coefficient of carbon emission reduction and energy saving of various departments. By applying sensitivity coefficient model to the analysis of carbon emission reduction and energy saving fulfillment under the carbon emission reduction and energy saving measures during the 12th Five-Year Plan in Guangdong Province, conclusions are drawn that the devotion of energy structure optimization, industrial restructuring and higher energy efficiency level to energy saving respectively mount to 13.1%, 8.20%and 78.7%, while to carbon emission reduction mount to 15.2%, 7.85%, and 76.9%. Generally speaking, the reduction of 18.7% in energy consumption intensity and 20.4% in carbon emission intensity can basically meet the requirements of the carbon mission reduction and energy saving goal during the 12th Five-Year Plan.
机译：本文基于广东省投入输出表和能耗资产负债表2012年，本文制定了广东省的非竞争能源投入输出表，并计算了碳排放减少和节能碳排放碳强度，碳强度和灵敏度系数各个部门。通过将敏感系数模型应用于广东省12日五年计划中的碳排放减少和节能措施分析，得出了能源结构优化，产业结构调整和较高的能效水平与节能分别升高到13.1％，8.20％和78.7％，而碳排放贴在15.2％，7.85％和76.9％。一般来说，减少能耗强度为18.7％，碳排放强度为20.4％，基本上符合12日五年计划中的碳任务减少和节能目标的要求。

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