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首页> 外文会议>International Conference on Energy, Environment and Development >Empirical Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions in Resource-dependent Cities Based on Vector Autoregression Model
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Empirical Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions in Resource-dependent Cities Based on Vector Autoregression Model

机译：基于载体归共模型的资源依赖城市经济增长与碳排放关系的实证研究

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The contradiction between economy and environment is a great challenge for resource-dependent city in the process of transition to low carbon economy. According to economic development and energy consumption data of Zibo city, 1999-2009, empirical research of dynamic relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions is made based on VAR (Vector autoregression) model with the use of impulse response functions and variance decomposition. It is concluded that in resource-dependent cities per capita GDP changes lead to Granger cause changes in carbon emissions ;economic growth and carbon emissions do not exist inverted U-shaped relationship in the dynamic sense; per capita GDP contribute highly to the interpretation of predictive variance decomposition of carbon emissions, carbon reduction targets constraint is bound to cause the expense of economic growth to some extent. Therefore, the study suggested that in resource-dependent cities carbon reduction potential and the impact on the economy in determining carbon target constraints should be fully considered, the attention to harmonious development between economic growth and carbon emission reductions should be paid.
机译：经济与环境之间的矛盾是资源依赖城市在向低碳经济过渡过程中的巨大挑战。根据淄博市的经济发展和能耗数据，1999 - 2009年，经济增长与碳排放之间的动态关系的实证研究基于var（载体归共）模型，利用脉冲响应函数和方差分解。结论是，在资源依赖的城市人均GDP变化导致格兰杰导致碳排放的变化;经济增长和碳排放在动态意义上不存在倒U形关系;人均GDP对碳排放的预测方差分解的解释作出了高度贡献，碳减少目标约束必将在一定程度上引起经济增长的牺牲。因此，该研究表明，在资源相关的城市碳减少潜力和对确定碳目标限制方面的影响，应得到充分考虑的，应当关注经济增长和碳排放减少之间的和谐发展。

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