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Research on the Price Discovery Function of Chinese Corn Futures Market

机译:中国玉米期货市场价格发现功能研究

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For researching the function of price discovery in the Chinese corn futures market, this article uses cointegration test, Granger causality test, vector error correction model and state space model to analyze the corn futures market. The empirical results indicate that corn futures market and the spot market have a cointegration relationship, and the spot market price dominates the futures market price. Using the Kalman filter method, the dynamic contribution rate of corn futures market and spot market is calculated. The results show that the corn futures market is in a dominant position of price discovery function. The above results can be drawn of the corn futures market has a certain price discovery function.
机译:为了研究中国玉米期货市场价格发现的函数,本文采用协整重建试验,格兰杰因果试验,矢量误差校正模型和国家空间模型来分析玉米期货市场。 经验结果表明,玉米期货市场和现货市场具有共同关系的关系,现货市场价格主导期货市场价格。 利用卡尔曼滤波法,计算了玉米期货市场和现货市场的动态贡献率。 结果表明,玉米期货市场处于价格发现功能的主导地位。 以上结果可以绘制玉米期货市场有一定的价格发现功能。

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