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The Effects of RMB Internationalization on Balance of Payments in China

机译:人民币国际化对中国付款余额的影响

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This study investigates the effect of RMB Internationalization on balance of payments (BOP) by using structural vector autoregressive model (SVAR) with data from January 2010 to December 2017. Empirical evidence shows that RMB Internationalization and RMB real effective exchange rate is the Granger causality of CA via interest rate. The appreciation of RMB real effective exchange rate is the main reason for the decease of the CA surplus in recent years. To FA, RMB internationalization shock is the most important source in the decrease of FA surplus. It indicates RMB exporting through FA is increasing as the acceleration of RMB internationalization. We further recommend that it is crucial for relevant departments to monitor the relationship between RMB Internationalization and the balance of BOP.
机译:本研究调查了人民币国际化对付款方式(SVAR)与2010年1月至2017年12月的数据的余额(BOP)的影响。经验证据表明,人民币国际化和人民币实际有效汇率是格兰杰因果关系CA通过利率。人民币实际有效汇率的升值是近年来CA盈余死亡的主要原因。对于FA,人民币国际化震荡是FA盈余减少最重要的来源。它表示通过FA的人民币越来越随着人民币国际化的加速而导出。我们进一步建议,有关部门监测人民币国际化与BOP余额之间的关系至关重要。

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