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Duration Prediction for Proactive Replanning

机译:主动重新恢复的持续时间预测

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Proactive replanning attempts to predict scheduling problems or opportunities and adapt to them throughout a schedule's execution. By continuously predicting a task's remaining duration, a proactive replanner is able to accommodate upcoming problems or opportunities before they manifest themselves. We have developed a kernel density estimation-based method for predicting a task's duration distribution as it executes, and have integrated our prediction algorithm with an existing planner based on heuristic repair. Our predictor allows the planner to anticipate problems, or opportunities, early enough to avoid, or take advantage of, them, resulting in executed schedules that score significantly higher on a number of metrics. We have evaluated a limited form of our approach in simulation, and present the results of our experiments. The addition of duration prediction resulted in a 11.7% improvement in average reward. Compared with an omniscient planner, this is 45.0% of the maximum possible improvement.
机译:主动重新恢复尝试预测调度问题或机会并在整个时间表的执行过程中适应它们。通过不断预测任务的剩余持续时间,主动式较复制者能够在表现出自己之前适应即将到来的问题或机会。我们开发了一种基于内核密度估计的方法,用于预测任务的持续时间分布,并根据启发式修复将我们的预测算法与现有的规划师集成在一起。我们的预测器允许计划者预测问题或机会,早期以避免或利用它们,导致它们的执行时间表在许多指标上得分显着更高。我们在模拟中评估了我们的方法的有限形式,并呈现了我们的实验结果。持续时间预测的增加导致平均奖励的提高11.7%。与无关计划者相比,这是最大可能改进的45.0%。

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