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Oil Spill Risk Assessment in Maritime Transportation Networks

机译:海上交通网络溢油风险评估

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摘要

A high level strategic problem faced by regulatory agencies as well as commercial shippers is that of the evaluation of the merits of various alternative policies for transportation of crude oil and petroleum products taking into account both transportation and risk costs. A novel risk estimation and assignment methodology is presented. Based on historical oil spills, using causal data, risk costs are assessed for the bodies of water where shipping lanes and routes lie. The methodology determines risk cost estimates between two points of reference for the various products being transported by a variety of vessels being used. An efficient maritime transportation system should provide routing for various vessels carrying different petroleum products, while minimizing more than just the cost of transportation. Using the risk estimation methodology presented here, a multi-objective routing problem is modeled. A case study illustrating the determination of oil spill risk costs as well as the routing of products on a maritime oil transportation network is presented.
机译:监管机构和商业托运人面临的一个高级战略问题是,在考虑运输和风险成本的情况下,评估原油和石油产品运输的各种替代政策的优劣。提出了一种新颖的风险估计和分配方法。根据历史漏油事件,使用因果数据,评估航线和航线所在水域的风险成本。该方法确定了使用各种容器运输的各种产品的两个参考点之间的风险成本估算。一个有效的海上运输系统应该为运载不同石油产品的各种船只提供路线选择,同时不仅要使运输成本最小化。使用此处介绍的风险估计方法,对多目标路由问题进行了建模。案例研究说明了溢油风险成本的确定以及海上石油运输网络上产品的路线选择。

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