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Data Needs for Innovative Modeling

机译:创新建模的数据需求

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摘要

Traditional modeling and simulation in research and practice have already moved to encompass a wide variety of dimensions of trip makers' everyday life. Key aspects of this move include behavioral dynamics of life cycle stage transitions, repetition and cycles in time allocation and travel over weeklong periods, day-to-day variation in activity participation and travel, considerable attention to duration of activities and travel as well as departure time choice, and tour and trip chain considerations and associated decision making. As a result, many policies can now be analyzed through use of a new generation of models. A new need, however, arises for models that incorporate how people perceive space and time and how the use of imperfect information impacts travel choices. New models are also needed to (a) assess the affects of new technologies, (b) evaluate information systems for travelers, (c) assess processing and financing scenarios, and (d) analyze combinations of transportation management strategies. All mis means an increasingly pressing need for new models mat surpass current options. Existing data collection efforts are no longer sufficient to estimate these models, which require more and different data.
机译:在研究和实践中,传统的建模和模拟已经转移到旅行旅行者日常生活的各个方面。此举的关键方面包括生命周期阶段过渡的行为动力学,时间分配的重复和周期以及一周内的出行旅行,活动参与和出行的每日变化,对活动时间和出行以及出发时间的高度关注时间选择,旅行和旅行链注意事项以及相关的决策。结果,现在可以通过使用新一代模型来分析许多策略。然而,对模型的新需求出现了,这些模型将人们如何感知空间和时间以及使用不完善的信息如何影响出行选择纳入了模型。还需要新的模型来(a)评估新技术的影响,(b)评估旅行者的信息系统,(c)评估处理和融资方案,以及(d)分析运输管理策略的组合。所有的错误都意味着对新型号的迫切需求将超过当前的选择。现有的数据收集工作已不足以估计这些模型,而这些模型需要更多且不同的数据。

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