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Technology, forecasting, and ambiguity: A study of university decision making during the construction of twenty-first century academic libraries.

机译：技术，预测和模糊性：研究二十一世纪大学图书馆建设过程中的大学决策。

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摘要

This dissertation explores the process of higher education decision making during the construction of new academic libraries at American universities, with special attention to the influence of technology forecasts. The "organized anarchy" model of decision making, also known as the garbage can model (Cohen, March & Olsen, 1972; Kingdon, 1995) was used as the conceptual framework for analyzing and interpreting the data collected for this research.;Four research questions are addressed. First, for the period 1990-2007, what were the most frequently published forecasts related to technology in academic libraries? Second, how do library directors and other key decision making participants describe decision making during the construction of new academic libraries? Third, how do library directors and other key decision making participants describe the use of technology forecasts during the construction of new academic libraries? Fourth, what additional internal and external elements influenced decision making during the construction of new academic libraries?;Findings confirm the descriptive rigor of the model. Additional phenomena, coherent with the model and appropriate to the focus of this study, are identified. These include forecast agnosticism, microcoupling, isomorphism, and asymmetric influence. Though the data for this dissertation are best understood through an adaptation of the original garbage can model, its fundamental tenets are retained and affirmed.;Findings also suggest important areas for future research. These include librarians and entrepreneurship, the library within university decision making streams, and institutional decision making as consumer choice. Furthermore, the methodology used in this research provides a facile model for the application of garbage can analysis beyond the library and, indeed, beyond the university. For researchers interested in corporate, government, professional, and even personal decision making the approach of this study offers a ready starting point for further exploration.
机译：本文探讨了美国大学新高校图书馆建设过程中高等教育决策的过程，并特别关注技术预测的影响。决策的“有组织的无政府状态”模型，也称为垃圾桶模型（Cohen，March＆Olsen，1972； Kingdon，1995）被用作分析和解释本研究收集的数据的概念框架。问题得到解决。首先，在1990-2007年间，大学图书馆中与技术有关的最常发布的预测是什么？第二，图书馆馆长和其他主要决策者如何描述新大学图书馆建设过程中的决策？第三，图书馆馆长和其他主要决策者如何在新的大学图书馆建设过程中描述技术预测的使用？第四，在新建大学图书馆的过程中，哪些其他内部和外部因素影响了决策制定？研究结果证实了该模型的描述性严格性。确定了与模型相一致且适合本研究重点的其他现象。这些包括预测不可知论，微耦合，同构和不对称影响。尽管通过改编原始垃圾箱模型可以最好地理解本论文的数据，但其基本原理得以保留并得到肯定。；研究结果还提出了未来研究的重要领域。其中包括图书馆员和企业家精神，大学决策流中的图书馆以及作为消费者选择的机构决策。此外，本研究中使用的方法为图书馆之外甚至大学以外的垃圾桶分析应用提供了一个简便的模型。对于对公司，政府，专业甚至个人决策感兴趣的研究人员，本研究方法为进一步的探索提供了一个良好的起点。

著录项

  • 作者

    Mash, Samuel David.;

  • 作者单位

    University of South Carolina.;

  • 授予单位 University of South Carolina.;
  • 学科 Library Science.;Education Higher.;Education Administration.;Education Technology of.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 216 p.
  • 总页数 216
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 图书馆学、图书馆事业;教育;高等教育;
  • 关键词

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