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Leaving the past behind? A study of the FMLN and URNG transitions to political parties (El Salvador, Guatemala).

机译:留下过去?对马解阵线和民革联过渡到政党的研究(危地马拉萨尔瓦多)。

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摘要

This project focuses on the aftermath of civil war. Leaving the Past Behind? A Study of the URNG and FMLN Transitions to Political Parties asks a fundamental question related to the transition of insurgent groups to political parties that has not yet been investigated. Namely, how can we account for the success or failure of former insurgent groups as political parties? I argue that certain insurgent groups are more likely to succeed as political parties as a result of a variety of organizational factors (size, prior political party experience, contacts with mass-based organizations, internal unity, control of territory, and minimal violence committed against civilians) and environmental conditions (electoral rules, other political parties, voters, economic crises, and social cleavages).; To test these hypotheses, I combine qualitative and quantitative analyses of two Central American insurgent groups currently undergoing such transitions: the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN) in El Salvador and the Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unit (URNG) in Guatemala. First, I conduct a structured, focused comparison of the FMLN and URNG and their transitions to political parties. Second, I conduct a number of statistical analyses utilizing electoral results, political violence and socio-economic data to determine whether the explanations also hold for within nation analyses. Finally, I pursue the generalizability of the findings through a limited comparison of similar insurgent transitions in Mozambique and Colombia.; Findings from my research suggest that the FMLN drew upon previous experience with electoral politics both prior to and during the war, an extensive urban and rural network of combatants, and a nationwide organization of noncombatants to succeed in postwar electoral politics. On the other hand, the URNG had no prior experience with electoral politics, a weak organizational structure with few noncombatant support personnel, and limited geographic scope. While institutional factors played a marginal role in effecting the electoral performance of each group, it was the FMLN's experience and organization as an insurgent group that explains its superior performance relative to the URNG.
机译:该项目侧重于内战的后果。留下过去?一份关于URNG和FMLN向政党过渡的研究提出了一个与反叛组织向政党过渡有关的基本问题,尚未进行调查。即,我们如何才能解释前叛乱组织作为政党的成败?我认为,由于各种组织因素(规模,政党先前的经验,与群众组织的接触,内部统一,对领土的控制以及针对暴力行为的最低限度的暴力行为),某些叛乱组织更有可能成为政党成功平民)和环境条件(选举规则,其他政党,选民,经济危机和社会分裂)。为了检验这些假设,我对目前正在经历这种过渡的两个中美洲叛乱组织进行了定性和定量分析:萨尔瓦多的法拉邦多·马蒂民族解放阵线(FMLN)和危地马拉的危地马拉民族革命阵线(URNG)。首先,我对马解阵线和民革联及其向政党的过渡进行了结构化,重点突出的比较。其次,我利用选举结果,政治暴力和社会经济数据进行了许多统计分析,以确定这些解释是否也适用于国家分析。最后,我通过对莫桑比克和哥伦比亚的类似叛乱过渡进行有限的比较来追求这些发现的普遍性。我的研究结果表明,马解阵线借鉴了战前和战争期间的选举政治经验,广泛的城乡战斗员网络以及在战后选举政治中取得成功的全国性非战斗人员组织。另一方面,民革联没有选举政治方面的经验,组织结构薄弱,无战斗力的支助人员很少,地域范围有限。尽管体制因素在影响每个团体的选举表现中仅扮演着边际角色,但马解阵线作为反叛团体的经验和组织解释了其相对于民革的优越表现。

著录项

  • 作者

    Allison, Michael E.;

  • 作者单位

    The Florida State University.;

  • 授予单位 The Florida State University.;
  • 学科 Political Science General.; History Latin American.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 270 p.
  • 总页数 270
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 政治理论;拉丁美洲;
  • 关键词

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