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The financial embargo of 1986--1991 on South Africa: Dynamic analysis.

机译：1986--1991年对南非的金融禁运：动态分析。

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摘要

The structure of the main analysis of this thesis is to examine the effects of a financial embargo on the time path of the economic growth rate of South Africa. In this study I examine a simple open economy version of the Ramsey growth model. In addition, I undertake a linear intervention analysis to examine the effect of the financial embargo on the time path of the economic growth rate of South Africa. Based on both the theoretical and the empirical analyses, I conclude that the financial embargo of 1986-1991 on South Africa had a temporary negative effect on the time path of the economic growth rate of the country.; The thesis is extended to present a simple open economy version of Ramsey's model within a political context, taking into consideration the main elements of the apartheid system that was in effect in South Africa for a long time. This is in response to the question of the extent of the effectiveness of the international financial embargo in achieving its desired goal. This study concludes that there was an inverse relationship between the degrees of the response of the financial sanction as an international reaction to the human rights violations of the apartheid system on the one hand, and on the interest rate on the other. This provides a new interpretation for the outflow of capital from South Africa during the economic blockades. In line with the assumptions of the model, whites---the group with the capital---were the most affected by the blockade, with their income being directly affected by the imposition of the financial embargo. This indicates that the financial embargo was effective in achieving its desired goal, namely the exertion of pressure on the economic sector to lift the apartheid system. In addition, this analysis presents a simplified empirical study that concludes by reiterating the results of the theoretical study: that the multilateral financial embargo on South Africa was effective in achieving its desired goal.
机译：本文主要分析的结构是检验金融禁运对南非经济增长率时间路径的影响。在这项研究中，我研究了Ramsey增长模型的简单开放经济版本。此外，我进行了线性干预分析，以检验金融禁运对南非经济增长率时间路径的影响。根据理论和经验分析，我得出结论，1986-1991年对南非的金融禁运对该国经济增长率的时间路径具有暂时的负面影响。考虑到南非长期以来实行的种族隔离制度的主要内容，本文扩展了在政治背景下提出拉姆西模型的简单开放经济版本。这是对国际金融禁运在实现其预期目标方面的效力程度问题的回应。这项研究得出的结论是，一方面，金融制裁作为对种族隔离制度中侵犯人权行为的国际反应的国际反应，另一方面，与利率之间存在反比关系。这为经济封锁期间来自南非的资本外流提供了新的解释。与该模型的假设一致，白人（有资本的人群）受封锁影响最大，他们的收入直接受到实行金融禁运的影响。这表明金融禁运有效地实现了预期目标，即对经济部门施加压力以解除种族隔离制度。此外，该分析还提供了简化的实证研究，并通过重申理论研究的结果而得出结论：对南非的多边金融禁运可以有效地实现其预期目标。

著录项

  • 作者

    Abd El Atty Mohamed, Ghada Gomaa.;

  • 作者单位

    Carleton University (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 Carleton University (Canada).;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 126 p.
  • 总页数 126
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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