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Inferring risk aversion from the portfolio decision.

机译:从投资组合决策中推断风险规避。

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摘要

This dissertation examines how to infer risk aversion based on observed portfolio decisions. It consists of five chapters. Chapters 1 and 2 are introduction and literature review respectively.;Chapter 3 focuses on the role of uncapitalized future income and investigates the slope of relative risk aversion for consumption, an essential property of utility functions for consumption. The motivation is from the fact that uncapitalized future income is often modeled as a component of current wealth in theory, while it is not in most empirical studies. By examining risky asset allocations in multiperiod consumption-investment optimization problems, I analytically show that utility functions for consumption can exhibit either decreasing relative risk aversion (DRRA) or constant relative risk aversion (CRRA), depending on whether uncapitalized future income is introduced to provide another source of consumption. These findings can be used to reinterpret recent empirical evidence at micro level that there is essentially no wealth effect on households’ financial asset allocations.;Chapter 4 examines how to infer the magnitude of the Pratt-Arrow measures of risk aversion for wealth, based on a single portfolio choice. Three different procedures are evaluated. First, the existing approach that leads to a point estimate at the initial wealth and estimates risk aversion in the small is discussed. The second approach uses quadratic utility as an approximation to the true utility, and generates an estimate of risk aversion in the large, based only on the mean and variance of the risky asset return. The third approach directly employs functional forms for utility function or risk aversion to estimate risk aversion in the large. Computed solutions indicate that assuming functional forms for utility or risk aversion performs much better in estimating relative risk aversion over a wide range of the risky return distributions.;Chapter 5 uses theoretical findings in Chapters 3 and 4 to reinterpret empirical evidence on relative risk aversion presented in three important published papers. The first conclusion is that relative risk aversion for liquid financial wealth is probably constant. Second, relative risk aversion for consumption that comes from liquid financial wealth can be decreasing if uncapitalized future income is incorporated into dynamic consumption-investment optimization problems. Third, the opinions on the magnitude of relative risk aversion for Arrow-Pratt wealth are still divergent but at the mean return it usually does not exceed 10 unless for extremely impoverished investors.
机译:本文研究了如何根据观察到的投资组合决策来推断风险规避。它由五章组成。第一章和第二章分别是绪论和文献综述。第三章着重讨论未资本化的未来收入的作用,并研究了相对风险规避对消费的斜率,这是消费效用函数的基本属性。其动机是基于这样一个事实,即无资本化的未来收入在理论上经常被建模为当前财富的组成部分,而在大多数实证研究中却没有。通过检查多时期消费-投资优化问题中的风险资产分配,我分析表明,用于消费的效用函数可以表现出相对风险厌恶情绪降低(DRRA)或恒定相对风险厌恶情绪(CRRA),具体取决于是否引入了无资本的未来收入来提供另一个消费来源。这些发现可用于从微观层面重新解释最近的经验证据,即对家庭的金融资产配置基本上没有财富影响。第四章研究了如何基于对财富的风险规避的普拉特-阿罗测度的大小单一的投资组合选择。评估了三种不同的程序。首先,讨论了现有的方法,该方法导致对初始财富进行点估算,并在小规模资产中估算风险规避。第二种方法使用二次效用作为真实效用的近似值,并且仅基于风险资产收益的均值和方差来生成大的风险规避估计。第三种方法直接将功能形式用于效用函数或风险规避,以从总体上估算风险规避。计算出的解决方案表明,假设效用或风险规避的功能形式在估计广泛的风险收益分布范围内的相对风险规避方面要好得多;第5章使用第3章和第4章中的理论结果来重新解释有关相对风险规避的经验证据在三篇重要的发表论文中。第一个结论是,流动性金融财富的相对风险规避可能是恒定的。其次,如果将未资本化的未来收入纳入动态的消费-投资优化问题中,则来自流动性金融财富的消费相对风险规避可以减少。第三,关于Arrow-Pratt财富的相对风险规避程度的意见仍然分歧,但平均回报率通常不超过10,除非极度贫困的投资者。

著录项

  • 作者

    Liu, Desu.;

  • 作者单位

    Michigan State University.;

  • 授予单位 Michigan State University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 110 p.
  • 总页数 110
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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