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Analysis of cancer mortality and incidence among nuclear weapons workers at the Rocky Flats Plant.

机译:Rocky Flats工厂核武器工人的癌症死亡率和发病率分析。

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摘要

We studied a cohort of 16,258 production-era workers at Rocky Flats to assess relations between radiation and chemical exposures and lung cancer mortality, to estimate standardized mortality and incidence ratios, and to examine the effect of censoring on cancer incidence rates.; Multivariate Poisson regression modeling of the production-era cohort produced non-statistically significant elevated plutonium systemic deposition rate ratios for lung cancer. In this model, external penetrating radiation with a 10-year lag period, birth cohort, and employment duration were identified as important confounders. We then identified a cohort of plutonium-exposed workers and repeated the Poisson modeling. Lung cancer rate ratios for subjects with plutonium systemic depositions of ≥150 Bq where positively statistically significant when adjusted for external penetrating radiation with a 10-year lag period, birth cohort, and age at first plutonium exposure. Employment duration, although statistically significant in previous analyses, was not statistically significant in this model.; Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for both the production-era and plutonium exposure cohorts. Most estimates, including those for all cause mortality, all cancers, and lung cancer were significantly less than unity. Elevated, but non statistically significant SMRs were consistently observed for cancers of the rectum, brain and other central nervous system, and connective tissue, along with unspecified neoplasms of the nervous system and unspecified anemias.; Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were estimated, with results similar to those observed for the SMRs. Lung and prostate cancer incidence rates and SIRs were compared to lung and prostate cancer mortality rates and SMRs to determine the degree to which left and right censoring method affected SIRs. We found that left censoring methods produced the greatest influence on incidence rates and SIRs. However, these differences were less in the SIRs, which are adjusted for age and calendar time.
机译:我们在洛矶公寓研究了16258名生产时代的工人,以评估放射线和化学暴露与肺癌死亡率之间的关系,估算标准化死亡率和发病率,并检查审查对癌症发病率的影响。生产时代队列的多元Poisson回归模型显示肺癌的p统计全身沉积率比值非统计学显着升高。在该模型中,具有10年滞后期,出生队列和就业时间的外部穿透辐射被认为是重要的混杂因素。然后,我们确定了一组of接触工人,并重复了泊松模型。 system全身沉积≥150Bq的受试者的肺癌发生率比率,经10年滞后期,出生队列和首次p暴露年龄的校正后,经外部穿透性辐射调整后具有正统计学意义。就业时间虽然在先前的分析中具有统计学意义,但在该模型中没有统计学意义。计算了生产时代和p暴露人群的标准化死亡率(SMR)。大多数估计值,包括所有导致死亡的原因,所有癌症和肺癌的估计值,都远低于统一。在直肠,脑和其他中枢神经系统以及结缔组织的癌症,以及未指明的神经系统肿瘤和未指明的贫血中,始终观察到升高的,但无统计学意义的SMR。估计了标准化的发病率(SIR),其结果与SMR观察到的结果相似。将肺癌和前列腺癌的发病率和SIR与肺癌和前列腺癌的死亡率和SMR进行比较,以确定左右检查方法对SIR的影响程度。我们发现,左审查方法对发生率和SIR产生最大的影响。但是,在针对年龄和日历时间进行了调整的SIR中,这些差异较小。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wells, Timothy S.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Colorado Health Sciences Center.;

  • 授予单位 University of Colorado Health Sciences Center.;
  • 学科 Health Sciences Public Health.; Health Sciences Occupational Health and Safety.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 146 p.
  • 总页数 146
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 预防医学、卫生学;职业性疾病预防;
  • 关键词

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