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Credit risk, default triggers, distant-to-default, and valuation of a bond: A contingent claims analysis.

机译:信用风险,违约触发因素,距离违约的距离以及债券的估值:或有债权分析。

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摘要

This study focused on credit risk modeling, and attempted to examine the relationship between credit spreads and the measurement of distant-to-default. In the first part we developed a contingent-claims valuation model on a credit risky bond to compare three alternative default trigger conditions, i.e., the positive net wealth requirement, the cash-flow-triggered default, and the endogenously default trigger conditions. In the second part, we obtained some analytical results on the relationship between credit spreads and debt ratio, and distant-to-default. In particular, we derived analytical formulas showing that credit spreads on a risky bond can be expressed as a function of distant-to-default of the issuing firm.;Numerical implementation showed that the endogenous default triggering value is not always higher than other two exogenous default trigger conditions; the same uncertainty is also true for the bond price and thus credit spreads. However, without protective covenants, a bond is more likely to default when interest rate level actually decreases due to the deterioration of the general economy condition. The lower interest rate raises endogenous default triggering value.;As to the distant-to-default and credit spreads, we found that credit spread moves downward when the risk-free rate increases. Meanwhile, the lower value of credit spread corresponds to the higher value of distant-to-default. In addition, this study found no matter what default trigger condition is applied, credit risk models based on single bond, tend to underestimate a firm's debt ratio and thus credit spreads.
机译:这项研究侧重于信用风险建模,并试图检验信用利差与违约距离的度量之间的关系。在第一部分中,我们针对信用风险债券开发了或有债权估值模型,以比较三种替代性违约触发条件,即正净财富要求,现金流触发的违约和内生违约触发条件。在第二部分中,我们获得了有关信用利差与债务比率以及远期至违约之间关系的分析结果。尤其是,我们得出了分析公式,表明风险债券上的信用利差可以表示为发行公司的违约距离。;数字实现表明,内源性违约触发价值并不总是高于其他两个外源性触发价值默认触发条件;债券价格和信贷利差也存在同样的不确定性。但是,如果没有保护性契约,当利率水平由于整体经济状况的恶化而实际下降时,债券更可能违约。较低的利率会提高内生的违约触发价值。关于远期违约和信用利差,我们发现随着无风险利率的增加,信用利差下降。同时,信用价差的较低值对应于违约距离的较高值。此外,该研究发现,无论采用何种违约触发条件,基于单债券的信用风险模型都倾向于低估企业的债务比率,从而低估信用利差。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chou, Heng-Chih.;

  • 作者单位

    Golden Gate University.;

  • 授予单位 Golden Gate University.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.;Business Administration Banking.
  • 学位 D.B.A.
  • 年度 1999
  • 页码 111 p.
  • 总页数 111
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;金融、银行;
  • 关键词

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