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The term structure of interest rates and arbitrage free bond pricing: An application to the Russian government bond market.

机译:利率和无套利债券定价的期限结构:在俄罗斯政府债券市场上的一种应用。

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摘要

In this dissertation, first the term structure of interest rate is determined by describing the yield curve using cubic spline interpolation. Then, the one-factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (HJM) model as developed by Jarrow (1996) is used to determine arbitrage free prices for Russian Government Short Term Bonds. In this model, the initial term structure is taken as given, and the forward rate, derived from observed prices, is the driving factor. After determining the stochastic evolution of bond prices, a trading strategy is developed to construct a portfolio which gives arbitrage-free prices. The computed arbitrage-free prices are compared to the observed prices. Then the Black, Derman, and Toy model is applied. This is another arbitrage-free one-factor model. The factor driving the model is the short term interest rates. With the short term rates, the evolution of the bond prices is generated. Using the same trading strategy, a portfolio which is a synthetic bond that gives the arbitrage-free price, is created. The arbitrage free price is then compared to the observed price.
机译:本文首先利用三次样条插值法描述了收益率曲线,确定了利率的期限结构。然后,使用由Jarrow(1996)开发的单因素Heath,Jarrow和Morton(HJM)模型来确定俄罗斯政府短期债券的无套利价格。在此模型中,初始期限结构是给定的,而从观察到的价格得出的远期汇率是驱动因素。在确定债券价格的随机变化之后,开发了一种交易策略来构建可提供无套利价格的投资组合。将计算出的无套利价格与观察到的价格进行比较。然后应用Black,Derman和Toy模型。这是另一种无套利的单因素模型。驱动模型的因素是短期利率。使用短期利率,会产生债券价格的演变。使用相同的交易策略,创建了一个投资组合,该投资组合是一种合成债券,给出了无套利的价格。然后将无套利价格与观察价格进行比较。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gunesdogdu, Recai.;

  • 作者单位

    City University of New York.;

  • 授予单位 City University of New York.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1998
  • 页码 70 p.
  • 总页数 70
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;
  • 关键词

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