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An economic analysis of trade liberalization in the international market for palm and related oils.

机译：棕榈油及相关油品国际市场贸易自由化的经济分析。

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摘要

With the rapid expansion of palm oil area and replanting of oil palm plantation, particularly in Indonesia and Malaysia, world palm oil production will increase significantly. The improvement of processing technology also will lead to further increase in world palm oil supply. Indonesia and Malaysia as the major producers and exporters of palm oil, in the world oils and fats market are still facing market distortions, especially from the EC, U.S. and other major importers. The market become more competitive because most importing countries are also producers of palm oil substitutes such as soybean oil, sunflowerseed oil, rapeseed oil and olive oil.; Trade regulations through tariffs and non-tariff barriers, and internal support to farmers have a great influence over import demand, especially in countries producing competitive products to palm oil. Changes in trade policies of the importing countries will affect the quantity and price of world palm oil demand. Furthermore, it may have a direct impact on the price and quantity of Indonesian and Malaysian palm oils.; In this study, based on the SWOPSIM modeling framework, world trade of palm oil and related oil is divided into nine regions: Indonesia, Malaysia, China, Pakistan, the European Community, the United States, India, Kenya and the Rest of the World. Based on the quantity supply and demand of the oils in the world market, the commodities included in this model are: palm oil, soybean oil, sunflowerseed oil, and rapeseed oil that represent about 75 percent of world vegetable oils.; Eight scenarios of various trade policy changes in the international market of palm and related oils have been analyzed in this simulation model. In general, trade liberalization will affect world price as well as domestic producer and consumer prices. The changes in domestic prices will affect domestic supply and demand, which in turn will affect world trade of palm oil and other related oils. The price and cross price elasticities as well as supply growth, income and population also have a significant impact on the net trade of palm and other related oils.
机译：随着棕榈油面积的迅速扩大和油棕种植园的重新种植，特别是在印度尼西亚和马来西亚，世界棕榈油产量将大大增加。加工技术的改进也将导致世界棕榈油供应的进一步增加。印度尼西亚和马来西亚是棕榈油的主要生产国和出口国，在世界油脂市场上仍面临市场扭曲，尤其是来自欧共体，美国和其他主要进口国的扭曲。市场变得更具竞争力，因为大多数进口国也是棕榈油替代品的生产商，例如大豆油，葵花籽油，菜籽油和橄榄油。通过关税和非关税壁垒的贸易法规以及对农民的内部支持对进口需求有很大影响，特别是在生产具有竞争性产品的棕榈油的国家。进口国贸易政策的变化将影响世界棕榈油需求的数量和价格。此外，它可能直接影响印尼和马来西亚棕榈油的价格和数量。在本研究中，基于SWOPSIM建模框架，棕榈油及相关油的世界贸易分为九个区域：印度尼西亚，马来西亚，中国，巴基斯坦，欧洲共同体，美国，印度，肯尼亚和世界其他地区。根据世界市场上食用油的数量供求关系，该模型所包括的商品为：棕榈油，大豆油，葵花籽油和菜籽油，约占世界植物油的75％；在此模拟模型中，分析了国际棕榈油及相关油类市场的各种贸易政策变化的八种情况。一般而言，贸易自由化将影响世界价格以及国内生产者和消费者的价格。国内价格的变化将影响国内供需，进而将影响棕榈油和其他相关油类的世界贸易。价格和交叉价格弹性以及供应增长，收入和人口数量也对棕榈油和其他相关油品的净贸易产生重大影响。

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  • 作者

    Alwi, Ali.;

  • 作者单位

    Colorado State University.;

  • 授予单位 Colorado State University.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1997
  • 页码 194 p.
  • 总页数 194
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 农业经济;
  • 关键词

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