首页> 外文学位 >Social learning and parameter uncertainty in irreversible investments, and, Partial maximum likelihood estimation of a spatial Probit model.
【24h】

Social learning and parameter uncertainty in irreversible investments, and, Partial maximum likelihood estimation of a spatial Probit model.

机译:不可逆投资中的社会学习和参数不确定性,以及空间Probit模型的部分最大似然估计。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

The first paper discusses the social learning and parameter uncertainty in irreversible investments. The adoption of new technology usually involves irreversible investments where the future payoff is uncertain. In addition, investors often have to contend with a limited understanding of the technology itself, which can be modeled as uncertainty regarding the parameters of the stochastic process describing the future payoff. It is hypothesize that social learning (having previous adopters in the farmer's social network) increases the probability of the farmer adopting the new technology. This is posited based on theory: social learning would reduce parameter uncertainty, and thus the overall level of risk facing the farmer-investor, and thus induce investment. The paper tests this hypothesis using Chinese farm household data on adoption of greenhouses. The latter are of the "intermediate technology" type, made of clay walls, a plastic-sheet roof, and a straw mat roll-out awning for cold nights. The empirical findings of this paper support the hypothesis. It is also found that market volatility discourages adoption.;The second paper analyzes a spatial Probit model for cross sectional dependent data in a binary choice context. Observations are divided by pairwise groups and bivariate normal distributions are specified within each group. Partial maximum likelihood estimators are introduced and they are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal under some regularity conditions. Consistent covariance matrix estimators are also provided. Finally, a simulation study shows the advantages of the new estimation procedure in this setting. The proposed partial maximum likelihood estimators are shown to be more efficient than that of generalized method of moments counterparts
机译:第一篇论文讨论了不可逆投资中的社会学习和参数不确定性。在未来收益不确定的情况下,采用新技术通常涉及不可逆转的投资。此外,投资者通常不得不对技术本身的了解有限,这可以建模为关于描述未来收益的随机过程参数的不确定性。假设社会学习(在农民的社交网络中有以前的采用者)会增加农民采用新技术的可能性。这是基于理论提出的:社会学习将减少参数的不确定性,从而减少农民-投资者面临的总体风险水平,从而吸引投资。本文使用有关温室采用的中国农户数据来检验该假设。后者属于“中间技术”类型,由黏土墙,塑料屋顶和凉爽的夜晚的草席卷帘制成。本文的经验发现支持该假设。还发现市场波动会阻碍采用。第二篇论文分析了在二元选择背景下横截面相关数据的空间Probit模型。观察结果按成对分组,每组指定双变量正态分布。引入了部分最大似然估计量,它们在某些规律性条件下被证明是一致且渐近正态的。还提供了一致的协方差矩阵估计量。最后,仿真研究显示了在这种情况下新估算程序的优势。结果表明,所提出的部分最大似然估计器比广义矩对应方法更有效。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wang, Honglin.;

  • 作者单位

    Michigan State University.;

  • 授予单位 Michigan State University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Finance.;Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 115 p.
  • 总页数 115
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;农业经济;财政、金融;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:38:25

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号