为提升我国水利工程项目成本风险管理水平，本文基于风险管理理论，并结合模糊数学原理，利用层次分析法，通过辨识水利项目成本风险因素，构建了水利项目成本风险评估模型。应用实例表明：模糊层次分析模型在水利项目成本风险评估中具有较强的适用性。本研究成果可为水利项目成本风险控制及评估提供决策依据。%In order to enhance the cost risk management level of water engineering project in our country.The paper utilizes analytic hierarchy process to establish water project cost risk assessment through identifying the risk factors of water conservancy project cost,which based on risk management theory and combined with fuzzy mathematics principle. Application example shows that fuzzy hierarchy analysis model has stronger applicability in water conservancy project cost risk assessment.The research results can provide decision-making basis for water conservancy project cost risk control and assessment.
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