[目的] 2011年以来上海市浦东新区陆续实行一系列农民增收补贴政策,为了解政策在促进农民收入增加和农业发展方面的效果,进行了该研究.[方法] 基于2011~2016年浦东新区和新区各镇的投入与产出数据,利用DEA-Malmquist模型对政策的总体技术效率和全要素生产率进行测算和分析.[结果] 把浦东新区作为独立决策单元进行测算,政策实施期间的总体技术效率值为1,全要素生产率呈现出先下降后上升的趋势;对新区14个镇的测算显示大部分镇DEA有效,全要素生产率存在地区差异.[结论] (1)浦东新区农民增收补贴政策总体成效显著;(2) 农民增收补贴政策存在边际效用递减规律,2011~2016年浦东新区全要素生产率呈现出平缓"L"形走势;(3) 浦东新区各镇总体技术效率和全要素生产率存在地区差异,北部镇情况优于南部镇.并根据结论提出了保持政策延续性和稳定性、调整农民增收补贴结构和增量补贴向南部镇倾斜等建议.%Since 2011,Pudong New Area in Shanghai has implemented a series of subsidy policies for increasing farmers'incomes. To examine the effects of these policies,this paper draws on the DEA-Malmquist Model,based on the input and output data of each town in Pudong New Area in 2011~2016,to measure and analyze the overall technical efficiency and total factor productivity of these policies. The result shows that if Pudong New Area is taken as single administrative unit and the overall technical efficiency is set at 1,the total factor productivity goes down-ward first and then upward. It also shows that DEAs are effective in most towns but there is a regional difference in total factor productivity. It concluded that(1) the subsidy policies in Pudong New Area for the increase of farmers'incomes had achieved remarkable results as a whole; (2) the policies showed a diminishing marginal functional effect with an L shape of total factor productivity from 2011 to 2016; (3) there was a regional difference in total factor productivity among different towns,towns in the north being better than those in the south. Based on the con-clusions,this paper suggested Pudong government should keep subsidy policies consistent and stable, adjust the structures of the subsidies,and increase subsidies to the southern towns.
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