Low-carbon economic system is a dynamic complex one, and the factors as economic development level, industry structure, Energy consumption structure, low-carbon technology Level and environmental carrying capacity of different re-gions will affect regional low-carbon economic development paths. This paper will construct regional low-carbon economic system dynamics model, and analyze the mechanism of low-carbon economic system based on intrinsic relation among four systems of the energy system, economic system, social system and environment system. Finally, we will forecast the suitable pattern of Fujian province’s low-carbon economic development based on computer simulation,and find an optimal develop-ment pattern of low-carbon economic development, which can establish coordinated growth relation between economic growth and carbon emissions of Fujian province.% 低碳经济系统是一个动态复杂性系统，不同区域的经济发展水平、产业结构、能源消耗结构、低碳技术水平和环境承载力等因素都会影响区域低碳经济的发展轨迹。文章构建了区域低碳经济系统动力学模型，通过能源子系统、经济子系统、社会子系统和环境子系统四个子系统的内在关系对区域低碳经济系统的内部机制进行分析。最后对福建省低碳经济发展的适宜模式进行SD仿真预测，以追寻福建省经济增长与碳排放协调发展的低碳经济优化发展模式。
展开▼
