应用线性回归R/S法,分析龙岩市1960—2013年的气温及降水的变化趋势.结果表明:龙岩市四季和年均气温呈上升趋势,年均气温上升显著,线性趋势为0.014℃·a-1,未来变化趋势具有持续增长的趋势.四季和年均气温平均循环时间长度分别为6、5、8、8、11 a.龙岩市年降水量线性趋势为0.877 mm·a-1,春季、夏季降水量保持持续递增,秋季降水量持续递减,冬季降水量和年降水量则呈持续递增.四季和年降水量均循环长度分别为8、14、8、7、5 a.气温的持续升高抑制了降水量的减少.%Linear regression and rescaled range analysis were used to analyze changes in temperature and precipitation of Longyan during 1960-2013. The result showed increases in seasonal and annual temperature. Linear trend for annual temperature was 0.014℃·a-1 , indicating a continuous increase in the future. Average cycle durations for 4 seasons and annual temperature were 6, 5,8, 8 and 11 a respectively. Linear trend for annual precipitation was 0.877 mm·a-1 . Precipitation in spring and summer continuously increased but decrease in autumn. While winter and annual precipitation increase, which was contrary to the past. Average cycle du-rations for annual and 4 seasons temperature were 8, 14, 8, 7 and 5 a respectively. The decreased precipitation was attributed to in-creased air temperature.
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