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人民币汇率影响因素分析

         

摘要

From the financial crisis in 2008 has been 9 years, its impact is still not dissipated. China to ease the impact of the financial crisis to take a positive monetary and fiscal policies to increase investment, thereby promoting the exchange rate fluctuations. Since 2014, the RMB exchange rate has been devalued, capital flight is serious. At the beginning of 2017, the RMB exchange rate was lifted down, and the recent exchange rate was relatively stable. Exchange rate has a great impact on the economy of a country, and it is particularly important to study exchange rate factors. In this paper, it uses of EViews software to analyze the impact of the exchange rate on the general factors to find out the main factors affecting the exchange rate in order to better predict the exchange rate and macro-control, so that the RMB can more adapt to the needs of market development and better play its resource allocation function.%距2008年金融危机已有9年之久,其带来影响依然没有消散.我国为缓解金融危机影响采取积极的货币、财政政策,加大投资,进而推动了汇率波动.自2014年,人民币汇率不断贬值,资本外逃严重,2017年初,人民币汇率才由贬向升,近期汇率相对稳定.汇率对一国经济影响极大,研究汇率影响因素尤为重要.本文运用EViews软件对影响汇率的一般影响因素进行分析,找出影响汇率的主要因素,以便更好的预测汇率及宏观调控,让人民币更加适应市场化发展的需要,更好地发挥其资源配置调节的功能.

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