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Comparing the robustness and effectiveness of the Antarctic treaty system and the UNFCCC regime

机译：比较南极条约系统与UNFCCC制度的鲁棒性和效力

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摘要

Both the UNFCCC governing climate change and the Antarctic Treaty System that governs Antarctica can now be understood as multi-treaty regimes situated within an Antarctic and Southern Ocean regime complex. The theory of Cognitive Structures of Cooperation (CSC Theory) provides a framework within which to analyse normative developments within a regime complex. Using CSC Theory this paper compares the two regimes in terms of robustness and effectiveness, before considering their interaction within the Antarctic and Southern Ocean regime complex. It finds that both have prioritised regime robustness over effectiveness. This is contrary to an assumption implicit in the Paris Agreement - that as the climate change challenge becomes worse, ambition (to increase effectiveness) will increase. For the ATS, the risk of prioritising institutional robustness over effectiveness is ultimately a loss of relevance.
机译：联合国气候综合核查范围内的气候变化和治理南极洲的南极条约制度都可以被理解为位于南极和南部海洋政权复合体内的多条约政权。合作认知结构理论（CSC理论）提供了一个框架，在其内部分析政权复合体内的规范性发展。使用CSC理论本文在考虑到南洋和南洋政权复合体内的互动之前，将两种制度与鲁棒性和有效性进行了比较。它发现两者都有优先的政权鲁棒性超过有效性。这与巴黎协议中隐含的假设相反 - 由于气候变化挑战变得更糟，野心（增加有效性）将增加。对于ATS而言，优先考虑体制稳健性超过有效性的风险最终是丧失相关性的。

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