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Has the PRC Decided on its Global Strategic Posture?

机译:中国是否已决定其全球战略姿态?

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Planners in the People's Republic of China rightly see the need for a capable, blue water naval force to support and sustain the PRC's rise as a global economic and strategic power. What has largely been missing, however, from the PRC's maritime dialog is a philosophical framework which would contain, or viably enable, such a maritime projection. The PRC sees the necessity to replace or eclipse the United States as the dominant global sea power. However, mainland China's rise to economic good fortune has depended - and continues to depend - on the concept of a free and open maritime commons which has been articulated, championed, and sustained first by the United Kingdom, and then by the US. This concept has helped not only ensure freedom of open seas navigation, but the stability of the trading nations and the choke points which govern the ocean arteries. For the PRC to attain global trading dominance, it would, of necessity, have to assume the primary r61e in maintaining global stability and (almost ipso facto) the freedom of the ocean commons. This implies, too, that at some point, if the present US dominance of the seas declined, so too would its capability and interest in sustaining a stable ocean and trading framework.
机译:中华人民共和国的计划者正确地认识到需要一支强大的蓝色海军力量来支持和维持中国作为全球经济和战略大国的崛起。但是,中国的海上对话在很大程度上缺少的是一个哲学框架,该框架将包含或可行地实现这种海上预测。中国认为有必要取代或取代美国成为全球主要海洋力量。但是,中国大陆经济繁荣的兴旺取决于-并继续取决于-自由开放的海洋公域的概念,该概念首先由英国提出,然后由美国提出和拥护并得到维持。这一概念不仅帮助确保了公海航行的自由,而且帮助了贸易国家的稳定和支配海洋动脉的瓶颈。为了使中国在全球贸易中占主导地位,它必须在维持全球稳定和(几乎是事实上)海洋公域自由方面承担主要责任。这也暗示着,在某个时候,如果美国目前的海洋主导地位下降,那么它维持稳定的海洋和贸易框架的能力和兴趣也将下降。

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