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Long-Range Dependence in a Cox Process Directed by a Markov Renewal Process

机译:马尔可夫更新过程指导的Cox过程中的远程依赖

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A Cox processNCoxdirected by a stationary random measureξhas secondmomentvar?NCox(0,t]=E(ξ(0,t])+var?ξ(0,t], where bystationarityE(ξ(0,t])=(const.)t=E(NCox(0,t]), so long-range dependence (LRD) properties ofNCoxcoincide with LRD properties of the random measureξ.Whenξ(A)=∫AνJ(u)duis determined by a density that dependson rate parametersνi(i∈??)and the current stateJ(?)of an??-valued stationary irreducible Markov renewal process (MRP) forsome countable state space??(soJ(t)is a stationary semi-Markovprocess on??), the random measure is LRD if and only if each (and thenby irreducibility, every) generic return timeYjj(j∈X)of theprocess for entries to statejhas infinite second moment, for which anecessary and sufficient condition when??is finite is that at leastone generic holding timeXjin statej, with distribution function (DF)Hj, say, has infinite second moment (a simple example shows that thiscondition is not necessary when??is countably infinite).Then,NCoxhas the same Hurst index as the MRPNMRPthat counts the jumpsofJ(?), while ast→∞, for finite??,var?NMRP(0,t]~2λ2∫0t??(u)du,var?NCox(0,t]~2∫0t∑i∈??(νi?νˉ)2?i?i(t)du,whereνˉ=∑i?iνi=E[ξ(0,1]],?j=Pr{J(t)=j},1/λ=∑jpˇjμj,μj=E(Xj),{pˇj}is the stationary distribution for the embedded jump processof the MRP,?j(t)=μi?1∫0∞min(u,t)[1?Hj(u)]du, and??(t)~∫0tmin(u,t)[1?Gjj(u)]du/mjj~∑i?i?i(t)whereGjjis theDF andmjjthe mean of the generic return timeYjjof the MRPbetween successiveentries to the statej. These two variances are of similar orderfort→∞only when each?i(t)/??(t)converges to some[0,∞]-valued constant, say,γi, fort→∞.
机译:由平稳随机度量ξ引导的Cox过程NCox具有secondmomentvar?NCox(0,t] = E(ξ(0,t])+ var?ξ(0,t],其中by平稳性E(ξ(0,t])=(常数。 )t = E(NCox(0,t]),因此NCoxcoincide的长距离依赖(LRD)特性与随机度量ξ的LRD特性有关.ξ(A)=∫AνJ(u)du由取决于速率参数νi的密度确定(i∈??)和?值静态不可约马尔可夫更新过程(MRP)在某些可数状态空间中的当前状态J(?)(soJ(t)是??上的平稳半马尔可夫过程),当且仅当进入状态的过程的每个(然后通过不可约性,每个)通用返回时间Yjj(j∈X)具有无限的第二时刻时,随机度量才是LRD,对此,当Δθ为有限时的充要条件是至少一个通用保持时间Xjin statej(具有分布函数(DF) Hj)具有无限的第二矩(一个简单的示例表明,当??是无限大时,此条件不是必需的)。然后,NCox具有与MRPNMRP,它计算J(?)的跃变,而ast→∞,对于有限Δε,varΔNMRP(0,t]〜2λ2∫0t??(u)du,varΔNCox(0,t]〜2∫0t ∑i∈ ??(νi?νˉ)2?i?i(t)du,其中νˉ= ∑i?iνi= E [ξ(0,1]] ,? j = Pr {J(t)= j}, 1 /λ= ∑jpˇjμj,μj= E(Xj),{pˇj}是MRP嵌入式跳变过程的平稳分布,?j(t)=μi?1∫0∞min(u,t)[1? Hj(u)] du和?(t)〜∫0tmin(u,t)[1?Gjj(u)] du / mjj〜∑i?i?i(t),其中Gj是DF,mj是通用收益的均值timeYjf进入状态j的连续条目之间的MRP。仅当每个Δi(t)/Δθ(t)收敛到某个[0,∞]值的常数(例如,γi,fort→∞)时,这两个方差才具有相似的阶数fort→∞。

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