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THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED

机译:修改农田评估

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摘要

Empirical research is scarce concerning the dynamics of farmland markets which inspire the decision to sell farmlands. This paper explores the real option to postpone the sale of land in farmland valuation. In this article, a real options approach is used to analyze farmland prices behavior using historical cash flow and land price information for Illinois. In general, rising farmland values are primarily dependent on agricultural commodity prices and interest rates. Results suggest that uncertainty about future growth and capital gains is a significant component of farmland market value. Furthermore, this research examines several shift factors of the option value of the statea€?s farmland by taking into account of uncertainty to improve the analysis of farmland market values.
机译:很少有关于农田市场动态的经验研究,这激发了出售农田的决定。本文探讨了推迟土地估价中土地出让的真正选择。在本文中,使用实物期权方法使用伊利诺伊州的历史现金流量和土地价格信息来分析农田价格行为。一般而言,农田价值的上升主要取决于农产品价格和利率。结果表明,未来增长和资本收益的不确定性是农田市场价值的重要组成部分。此外,本研究通过考虑不确定性来研究国有农田期权价值的几个变动因素,以改进对农田市场价值的分析。

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