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An epidemiological perspective on the future of direct-to-consumer personal genome testing

机译:面向消费者的个人基因组测试的未来流行病学观点

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Personal genome testing is offered via the internet directly to consumers. Most tests that are currently offered use data from genome-wide scans to predict risks for multiple common diseases and traits. The utility of these tests is limited, predominantly because they lack predictive ability and clear benefits for disease prevention that are specific for genetic risk groups. In the near future, personal genome tests will likely be based on whole genome sequencing, but will these technological advances increase the utility of personal genome testing? Whole genome sequencing theoretically provides information about the risks of both monogenic and complex diseases, but the practical utility remains to be demonstrated. The utility of testing depends on the predictive ability of the test, the likelihood of actionable test results, and the options available for the reduction of risks. For monogenic diseases, the likelihood of known mutations will be extremely low in the general population and it will be a challenge to recognize new causal variants among all rare variants that are found using sequencing. For complex diseases, the predictive ability of genetic tests will be mainly restricted by the heritability of the disease, but also by the genetic complexity of the disease etiology, which determines the extent to which the heritability can be understood. Given that numerous genetic and non-genetic risk factors interact in the causation of complex diseases, the predictive ability of genetic models will likely remain modest. Personal genome testing will have minimal benefits for individual consumers unless major breakthroughs are made in the near future.
机译:个人基因组测试通过互联网直接提供给消费者。当前提供的大多数测试都使用来自全基因组扫描的数据来预测多种常见疾病和特征的风险。这些测试的用途是有限的,主要是因为它们缺乏针对遗传风险人群的预测能力和明显的疾病预防优势。在不久的将来,个人基因组测试可能将基于全基因组测序,但是这些技术进步会增加个人基因组测试的效用吗?理论上,全基因组测序可提供有关单基因和复杂疾病风险的信息,但实际应用仍有待证明。测试的效用取决于测试的预测能力,可行的测试结果的可能性以及可用于降低风险的选项。对于单基因疾病,在一般人群中已知突变的可能性极低,在使用测序发现的所有罕见变异中识别新的因果变异将是一个挑战。对于复杂的疾病,基因检测的预测能力将主要受到疾病的遗传力的限制,但也受疾病病因的遗传复杂性的限制,而遗传复杂性决定了对遗传力的理解程度。鉴于众多的遗传和非遗传风险因素在复杂疾病的原因中相互作用,遗传模型的预测能力可能仍将保持适度。除非在不久的将来取得重大突破,否则个人基因组测试对个人消费者的利益将微乎其微。

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