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Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials

机译:选民信息运动和政治责任感:预先注册的荟萃分析荟萃分析的累积结果

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摘要

Voters may be unable to hold politicians to account if they lack basic information about their representatives’ performance. Civil society groups and international donors therefore advocate using voter information campaigns to improve democratic accountability. Yet, are these campaigns effective? Limited replication, measurement heterogeneity, and publication biases may undermine the reliability of published research. We implemented a new approach to cumulative learning, coordinating the design of seven randomized controlled trials to be fielded in six countries by independent research teams. Uncommon for multisite trials in the social sciences, we jointly preregistered a meta-analysis of results in advance of seeing the data. We find no evidence overall that typical, nonpartisan voter information campaigns shape voter behavior, although exploratory and subgroup analyses suggest conditions under which informational campaigns could be more effective. Such null estimated effects are too seldom published, yet they can be critical for scientific progress and cumulative, policy-relevant learning.
机译:如果选民缺乏有关其代表表现的基本信息,他们可能无法向政客追究责任。因此,民间社会团体和国际捐助者主张利用选民宣传运动来改善民主责任制。但是,这些运动有效吗?复制受限,度量异质性和出版偏见可能会损害已发表研究的可靠性。我们实施了一种新的累积学习方法,协调了由独立研究团队在六个国家/地区进行的七项随机对照试验的设计。在社会科学中,对于多站点试验并不常见,我们在查看数据之前共同预先注册了结果的荟萃分析。我们没有发现总体上有证据表明典型的,无党派的选民信息运动会影响选民的行为,尽管探索性和亚组分析表明了开展信息运动可能更有效的条件。这种无效的估计影响很少发布,但对于科学进步以及与政策相关的累积学习至关重要。

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