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首页> 外文期刊>Web Ecology >Incorporating natural and human factors in habitat modelling and spatialprioritisation for the iLynx lynx martinoi/i
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Incorporating natural and human factors in habitat modelling and spatialprioritisation for the iLynx lynx martinoi/i

机译：将自然和人为因素纳入 Lynx lynx martinoi 的栖息地建模和空间优先排序中

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摘要

Countries in south-eastern Europe are cooperating toconserve a sub-endemic lynx species, Lynx lynx martinoi. Yet, the planningof species conservation should go hand-in-hand with the planning andmanagement of (new) protected areas. Lynx lynx martinoi has a small,fragmented distribution with a small total population size and an endangeredpopulation. This study combines species distribution modelling with spatialprioritisation techniques to identify conservation areas for Lynx lynxmartinoi. The aim was to determine locations of high probability ofoccurrence for the lynx, to potentially increase current protected areas by20?% in Albania, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro,and Kosovo. The species distribution modelling used generalised linearmodels with lynx occurrence and pseudo-absence data. Two models weredeveloped and fitted using the lynx data: one based on natural factors, andthe second based on factors associated with human disturbance. TheZonation conservation planning software was then used to undertake spatialprioritisations of the landscape using the first model?composed of naturalfactors as a biological feature, and (inverted) a second model?composed ofanthropological factors such as a cost layer. The first model?includedenvironmental factors as elevation, terrain ruggedness index, woodland andshrub land, and food factor as chamois prey (occurrences) and had aprediction accuracy of 82?%. Second model?included anthropologicalfactors as agricultural land and had a prediction accuracy of 65?%.Prioritised areas for extending protected areas for lynx conservation werefound primarily in the Albania–Macedonia–Kosovo and Montenegro–Albania–Kosovocross-border areas. We show how natural and human factors can beincorporated into spatially prioritising conservation areas on a landscapelevel. Our results show the importance of expanding the existing protectedareas in cross-border areas of core lynx habitat. The priority of thesecross-border areas highlight the importance international cooperation canplay in designing and implementing a coherent and long-term conservationplan including a species conservation plan to securing the future of thelynx.
机译：欧洲东南部的国家正在合作保护亚地方（Lynx lynx martinoi）。但是，物种保护的规划应与（新）保护区的规划和管理齐头并进。 天猫座马天牛的分布小而分散，总人口少，种群数量濒临灭绝。这项研究将物种分布模型与空间优先化技术相结合，以鉴定天猫的保护区。目的是确定天猫的高发位置，以使阿尔巴尼亚，前南斯拉夫的马其顿共和国，黑山和科索沃的现有保护区潜在增加20％。物种分布建模使用具有天猫座出现和伪缺席数据的广义线性模型。使用天猫座数据开发并拟合了两个模型：一个基于自然因素，第二个基于与人为干扰相关的因素。然后使用分区保护规划软件，使用由自然因素组成的第一个模型（作为生物学特征）和（反过来）由人类学因素组成的第二个模型（例如成本层）对景观进行空间优先排序。第一个模型包括环境因素（例如海拔），地形坚固性指数，林地和灌木地以及食物因素（作为羚羊猎物（发生）），其预测准确性为82％。第二种模型包括人类学因素作为农业用地，预测精度为65％。我们展示了如何将自然因素和人为因素纳入景观级别的保护区空间优先级。我们的结果表明，在核心天猫座栖息地的跨界区域扩大现有保护区的重要性。这些跨境领域的优先重点突出了国际合作在设计和实施连贯的长期保护计划中的重要性，包括制定保护物种的未来的物种保护计划。

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