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Development and validation of five behavioral indices of flood adaptation

机译:洪水适应五大行为指标的开发与验证

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In the current context of climate change, climate forecasts for the province of Quebec (Canada) are a lengthening of the thunderstorm season and an increase in episodes of intense precipitations. These changes in the distribution of precipitations could heighten the intensity or frequency of floods, a natural hazard that concerns 80% of Quebec's riverside municipalities. For the health and safety of the at-risk population, it is very important to make sure they have acquired necessary adaptive behaviors against flooding hazard. However, there has been no assessment of these flood adaptation behaviors to date. Thus, the aim of this study was to develop and validate five indices of adaptation to flooding. A sample of 1951 adults completed a questionnaire by phone. The questionnaire, specifically developed for this study, measured whether they did or did not adopt the behaviors that are proposed by public health officials to protect themselves against flooding. The results of the item, confirmatory factor, and multiple correspondence analyses contributed to the development of five indices corresponding to the adaptation behaviors to adopt according to the chronology of events: (a) pre-alert preventive behaviors, (b) behaviors to carry out after the alert is issued, (c) behaviors to adopt during a flood not requiring evacuation, (d) behaviors to adopt during a flood requiring evacuation, and (e) post-flood behaviors. The results of this study also showed that people who perceive a risk of flooding in their home in the next 5 years tend to adopt more preventive behaviors and adaptation behaviors than those who perceive little or no risk at all. They also reveal that people who feel more adverse effects on their physical or mental health tend to adopt more adaptive behaviors than those who feel little or no adverse effects on their health. Across a series of psychometric analyses, the results showed that these flood adaptation indices could properly measure a vast range of adaptive behaviors according to the chronology of events. Therefore, researchers, public health agencies, and professionals can use them to monitor the evolution of individuals' adaptive behaviors during floods.
机译:在目前的气候变化背景下,魁北克省的气候预测(加拿大)是雷暴季节的延长,剧烈沉淀的剧集增加。这些沉淀分布的这些变化可以提高洪水的强度或频率,这是魁北克河畔市80%的自然灾害。对于风险群体的健康和安全性,确保他们已经获得了洪水危害所需的必要自适应行为非常重要。但是,迄今为止没有评估这些洪水适应行为。因此,本研究的目的是发展和验证五个适应洪水的指标。 1951年成年人的样本通过电话完成了调查问卷。针对这项研究的调查问卷测量,衡量他们是否做过或未采用公共卫生官员提出的行为,以保护自己免受洪水。项目的结果,确认因素和多个对应分析有助于开发与适应行为相对应通过根据事件的年表采用的五个指标:(a)预防预防行为(b)执行的行为在发布警报后,(c)在洪水期间采用的行为不需要疏散,(d)在需要疏散期间采用的行为,以及(e)洪水后行为。本研究的结果还表明,在未来5年内察觉在其家中洪水风险的人倾向于采取更多的预防性行为和适应行为,而不是那些完全感知或没有风险的人。他们还揭示了对身体或心理健康感到更不利影响的人往往比那些对健康感到不利或没有不利影响的人来说往往采用更加适应性的行为。在一系列心理模切分析中,结果表明,这些洪水适应指数可以根据事件的年表正确测量大量的自适应行为。因此,研究人员,公共卫生机构和专业人士可以利用他们在洪水中监测个人适应行为的演变。

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