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Analysis of the Russian-Chinese economic correlation in the field of foreign trade relations in the pandemic

机译：大流行中对外贸易关系领域的俄国 - 中国经济相关分析

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The article deals with the issues of improving analytical support for risk assessment using the SWOT analysis of internal and external environment factors through the example of Russian-Chinese economic cooperation in the field of trade. The analysis of the structural components of the most significant indicators of Russian-Chinese trade flows for the period of 2017–2018, preceding the COVID-19 pandemic, and the dynamics of export-import operations from January 2019 to June 2020 during the introduction of restrictive measures were performed. Besides, the additional impact of the simultaneously developing currency crisis in Russia and possible measures to overcome it at the bilateral level were considered. Based on the indicators of a very rapid return of Russian-Chinese foreign trade relations to close to pre-crisis ones within a short time, it can be assumed that an integrated approach to assessing, planning, and monitoring internal and external risks in the short and long term gives a positive result. Therefore, the traditional analysis of internal factors that are the most predictable and subject to constant control by organisational leadership must be coordinated with a thorough analysis of uncertainty factors, which allows adapting to the rapidly changing business environment as quickly as possible. As a result, the effectiveness of strategic planning and strategic analysis is significantly increased.
机译：本文涉及通过在贸易领域的俄国 - 中国经济合作的举例说，使用内部和外部环境因素的SWOT分析来改善风险评估的分析支持问题。 2017 - 2018年俄中贸易流量最重要指标的结构组成部分分析2017 - 2018年，在Covid-19大流行，以及2019年1月至6月20日的出口进口业务动态进行限制措施。此外，还考虑了同时发展俄罗斯货币危机的额外影响以及在双边层面克服它的可能措施。基于俄语 - 中贸易关系的非常快速的返回的指标，在​​短时间内接近危机前，可以假设在短时间内评估，规划和监测内部和外部风险的综合方法长期给出了积极的结果。因此，必须协调对最可预测的和持续控制的内部因素的传统分析，这些因素必须对不确定因素进行全面分析，这允许尽快调整到快速变化的商业环境。结果，战略规划和战略分析的有效性显着增加。

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