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Election monitoring

机译:选举监控

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YOU WOULD think that everything about this year's presidential election has changed over the past month. With corona-virus sweeping the country, President Donald Trump suggesting that Americans might want to disinfect their veins and Joe Biden going underground, such an assumption would appear reasonable. State-level political polls, which are known to oscillate wildly from day to day, show the former vice-president gaining a lot of ground in recent weeks. Yet there is actually little evidence that the picture has changed at all since February. Mr Trump's approval ratings are exactly where they were when the outbreak of covid-19 began. Properly weighted public opinion polls that account for interviewees' political affiliations reveal that Mr Biden holds just the same lead over the president as he did back in March.
机译:您会认为,关于今年总统大选的所有事情在过去一个月中都发生了变化。随着冠状病毒席卷全国,唐纳德·特朗普总统暗示美国人可能想消毒自己的静脉,而乔·拜登则进入地下,这样的假设似乎是合理的。众所周知,州一级的政治民意调查每天都在剧烈波动,这表明前副总统在最近几周取得了很大进展。然而,实际上几乎没有证据表明情况自2月份以来发生了变化。特朗普的支持率恰好是covid-19爆发爆发时的状态。适当权重的民意测验反映了受访者的政治关系,显示拜登在总统方面的领导地位与三月份时相同。

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    《The economist》 |2020年第9192期|23-24|共2页
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