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Energy consumption and CO_2 emission impacts of vehicle electrification in three developed regions of China

机译：中国三个发达地区汽车电气化的能耗和CO_2排放影响

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摘要

Vehicle electrification has been seriously considered as an industry revolution to achieve sustainable transportation in China. Hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) and pure electric vehicles (EV) are being demonstrated in scores of large cities. We select three well-developed regions (Jing-Jin-Ji, Yangtze-River-Delta and Pearl-River-Delta) to explore regional growth patterns for the light-duty passenger vehicle fleet and develop various scenarios for the penetration of HEV, PHEV and EV during 2010-2030. Per-kilometre and fleet well-to-wheels (WTW) petroleum use, fossil energy and CO_2 emissions are evaluated among various technology options. Promotion of PHEV and EV could help cut per-kilometre petroleum use to a great extent; however, to achieve a clear reduction benefit in oil demand for a fleet in three regions takes time. The effort to mitigate CO_2 emissions is much more difficult than lowering fossil energy use or oil consumption. This is especially true for the Jing-Jin-Ji Region where coal is an overwhelming power source. In those regions with a high share of coal power, HEV is a better option than PHEV or EV to reduce WTW CO_2 emissions. In the Pearl-River-Delta region with a much cleaner electricity mix, promotion of EV could achieve a more significant CO_2 reduction.
机译：车辆电气化已被认真视为在中国实现可持续交通运输的行业革命。在许多大城市中，混合动力汽车（HEV），插电式混合动力汽车（PHEV）和纯电动汽车（EV）都得到了展示。我们选择了三个发达的地区（京津冀，长江三角洲和珠江三角洲）来探索轻型乘用车车队的区域增长模式，并为混合动力电动汽车，插电式混合动力汽车的渗透制定各种方案以及2010-2030年的电动汽车。在各种技术选择中，对每公里和车队的轮对车轮（WTW）的石油使用，化石能源和CO_2排放进行了评估。推广插电式混合动力汽车和电动汽车可以在很大程度上减少每公里的石油使用；但是，要想在三个地区的船队中实现明显的减少石油需求的收益需要时间。减少CO_2排放的努力比降低化石能源的使用或石油消耗要困难得多。对于京津冀地区尤其如此，在这里煤炭是压倒性的动力来源。在煤电份额较高的地区，混合动力汽车比PHEV或EV更好的选择是减少WTW CO_2排放。在电力结构更加清洁的珠江三角洲地区，推广电动汽车可以实现更大幅度的二氧化碳减排。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2012年第9期|p.537-550|共14页
  • 作者

    Ye Wu; Zhengdong Yang; Bohong Lin; Huan Liu; Renjie Wang; Boya Zhou; Jiming Hao;

  • 作者单位

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China,School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

    School of Environment, and State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    electric vehicle; energy use; CO_2 emission;

    机译：电动汽车能源使用;CO_2排放;

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