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Analysis, facts, and prediction

机译:分析,事实和预测

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摘要

Popular writings on the environment and natural resources to a large extent make predictions. In order to dot hat, the authors rely on cross- sectional and time-series statistics. In contrast, ecologists and economists in their professional work engage in analysis by trying to identify those underlying processes that characterize the social and natural world. To do so, they try to uncover individual and group behaviour, be they the behav- iour of cells, organisms, humans, atmospheric particulates, water bodies, or indeed of whatever it is that happens to be the object of study. Empirical testing of both the underlying hypotheses and their implications forms an essential part of the latter exercise.
机译:关于环境和自然资源的流行著作在很大程度上做出了预测。为了说明问题,作者依赖于横截面和时间序列统计。相反,生态学家和经济学家在其专业工作中通过试图找出那些表征社会和自然世界的基本过程来进行分析。为此,他们试图揭示个人和团体的行为,无论是细胞,生物,人类,大气颗粒,水体还是任何实际成为研究对象的行为。对基本假设及其含义的实证检验构成了后者的重要组成部分。

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