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首页> 外文期刊>Environment and Development Economics >Program sustainability and the determinants of farmers' self-predicted post-program land use decisions: evidence from the Sloping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) in China
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Program sustainability and the determinants of farmers' self-predicted post-program land use decisions: evidence from the Sloping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) in China

机译：计划的可持续性和决定农民对计划后土地使用的自我决定的决定因素：中国坡地退耕计划（SLCP）的证据

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摘要

In this paper we evaluate the long-run sustainability of China's Sloping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) by investigating the determinants of fanners' self-predicted post-program land use decisions. We use data from a household survey conducted in 2005, with a particular focus on a dependent variable that reflects farmers' ordinal responses to a question about their probability of converting the enrolled lands back to cultivation after the program ends. First, we find that targeting the program on steeper sloped and lower quality plots can significantly decrease the probability of reconversion. Second, there is a significant and robust household income structure effect on the reconversion probability. Third, participating households with the right to decide what to plant on enrolled land have a higher probability of maintaining the reforested land after the program ends. Finally, subsidy shortfall has a positive influence on the probability of reconversion.
机译：在本文中，我们通过调查爱好者自行预测的项目后土地利用决策的决定因素，来评估中国的坡地退耕计划（SLCP）的长期可持续性。我们使用2005年进行的家庭调查的数据，特别关注因变量，该变量反映了农民对计划结束后农民将已登记土地重新耕种的可能性的顺序反应。首先，我们发现将程序定位在更陡峭的坡度和较低质量的图上可以显着降低重新转换的可能性。其次，家庭收入结构对重新转换的可能性产生了显着而强劲的影响。第三，在计划结束后，有权决定在已登记土地上种什么的参与家庭有更大的可能性维持被重新造林的土地。最后，补贴不足对重新转换的可能性有积极的影响。

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  • 来源
    《Environment and Development Economics》 |2014年第1期|30-47|共18页
  • 作者

    XIAOJUN YANG; JINTAO XU;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Economics, University of Gothenburg, Box 640, SE 405 30, Gothenburg, Sweden;

    College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, and National School of Development, Peking University, China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
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