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A cost analysis of alternative culling strategies for the eradication of classical swine fever in wildlife

机译:根除野生动物经典猪瘟的其他扑杀策略的成本分析

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Recent epidemics of avian influenza, foot-and-mouth disease, rabies, and classical swine fever have brought to public attention the issue of disease eradication in wildlife, as the consequences of pathogen spillover from wildlife reservoir to livestock and human population can be very dramatic. The reduction of population density by hunting or culling (i.e., selective removal of animal) is often perceived as the simplest and most effective way to control diseases in wild populations. Simple mathematical models show that when population density drops below a critical threshold level, as a consequence of culling or hunting, the pathogen cannot persist in the population because of a reduction in the contact rate between infective and susceptible individuals. However, these models usually assume that culling or hunting rate are constant in time. Moreover, the analysis of direct and indirect costs of culling (or of not culling) has been usually neglected in the literature of wild animal diseases.
机译:近期流行的禽流感,口蹄疫,狂犬病和经典猪瘟已经引起了公众的关注,即野生生物消灭疾病的问题,因为病原体从野生生物储库向牲畜和人类溢出的后果可能非常严重。 。人们通常认为通过狩猎或扑杀(即选择性清除动物)来降低种群密度是控制野生种群疾病的最简单,最有效的方法。简单的数学模型表明,当种群密度由于剔除或狩猎而下降到临界阈值以下时,由于感染者和易感个体之间的接触率降低,病原体无法在种群中持续存在。但是,这些模型通常假定剔除或搜寻速度在时间上是恒定的。此外,在野生动物疾病的文献中,对剔除(或不剔除)的直接和间接成本的分析通常被忽略。

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