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Population Decline, Labor Force Stability, and the Future of the Japanese Economy

机译:人口下降,劳动力稳定与日本经济的未来

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Demographic trends in Japan are producing a declining population that is rapidly growing older. With a total fertility rate of around 1.3 children per woman, the population has already begun to decline. This article examines the impact of these demographic trends on the level of employment and economic growth that Japan is projected to experience over the next 20 years. We explore the effect of changes in labor market policies on age-specific employment rates and assess whether innovative policies can moderate the decline in employment. Public policies encouraging increased employment of women and persons aged 60 and older could partially offset the anticipated decline in employment. The importance of the Japanese experience for European policy makers is discussed.
机译:日本的人口趋势正在导致人口的减少,并迅速增长。每个妇女的总生育率约为1.3个孩子,人口已经开始减少。本文研究了这些人口趋势对日本未来20年预计将经历的就业和经济增长水平的影响。我们探讨了劳动力市场政策变化对按年龄划分的就业率的影响,并评估了创新政策是否可以缓解就业下降的趋势。鼓励增加妇女和60岁及以上人员就业的公共政策可以部分抵消预期的就业下降。讨论了日本经验对欧洲决策者的重要性。

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